The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has issued a warning of developing heatwave conditions across southern parts of the country, as temperatures continue to rise above seasonal averages and climate signals point toward further شدت (intensification) in the coming weeks.
According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre, current observations show temperatures in South Punjab, upper Sindh, and parts of Balochistan already running 2 to 4°C above normal levels. These regions, historically among the hottest in the country, may see conditions worsen between April 29 and May 3, when a mild heatwave is expected to take hold.
Experts warn that May and June are typically the hottest months, with temperatures in vulnerable areas often ranging between 43°C and 45°C, and occasionally surging as high as 52°C during extreme events. The latest advisory suggests that global climate patterns remain neutral for now, but there is a 61% probability of El Niño developing between May and July, which could further intensify heat conditions.
While southern regions brace for rising temperatures, upper parts of the country are expected to receive temporary relief due to incoming westerly weather systems. These systems are likely to affect northern areas from April 27 (night) to April 29, and again from May 3 to May 5, bringing a slight drop of 2 to 4°C.
Despite the warning signs, authorities state that the situation is currently being monitored. The PMD has indicated that further updates will be issued if conditions escalate into a severe heatwave.
The forecast raises concerns about preparedness, particularly in heat-prone regions where access to cooling, water, and healthcare remains uneven. Past heatwaves have resulted in significant health risks, especially for outdoor workers, children, and the elderly.
Citizens are advised to stay updated through official channels and take precautionary measures, including avoiding direct sunlight during peak hours, staying hydrated, and limiting outdoor activity where possible.
For daily updates, the PMD has directed the public to its official website and mobile application.
