The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a warning about a potentially severe monsoon season in 2026, citing forecasts that suggest a possible El Niño climate pattern could significantly disrupt normal rainfall trends across Pakistan.

According to officials, the upcoming monsoon is expected to bring stronger-than-usual and more frequent rainfall spells, increasing the likelihood of extreme weather events in several parts of the country.

Technical expert Dr. Tayyab stated that there is a high probability of cloudbursts and intense downpours, with some areas potentially receiving an entire month’s rainfall within just one or two days.

The forecast also indicates uneven rainfall distribution, with regions of Sindh and Balochistan likely to receive below-average precipitation, while other areas may experience heavy and concentrated rainfall events.

Authorities have further warned that rising temperatures in northern Pakistan could intensify weather instability, adding to the overall risk of extreme conditions during the season.

Flood risks are expected to rise, particularly along the Indus River system, which officials consider more vulnerable this year compared to other major rivers including the Ravi, Sutlej, and Chenab.

In response, NDMA has issued a detailed advisory to provincial governments, urging early preparedness, strengthened emergency response systems, improved coordination, and effective resource management.

Officials added that contingency plans are being reviewed to ensure rapid response capabilities in case of flooding or other climate-related emergencies during the monsoon season.