Already reeling from relentless inflation and rising utility costs, Pakistani consumers are bracing for another financial hit as petroleum product prices are set to climb again from October 1, 2025.

Industry sources indicate that both ex-refinery and ex-depot rates are poised for an upward revision, fueled by a fresh rally in global crude oil prices and a modest depreciation of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar. If approved, the new prices will further squeeze household budgets, particularly for low- and middle-income families already struggling with record-high inflation, soaring electricity tariffs, and escalating food costs.

According to projections, the ex-refinery price of petrol is expected to rise by Rs. 1.97 per liter, moving from Rs. 160.93 to Rs. 162.90—a 1.2% increase. High-speed diesel (HSD) is likely to see a Rs. 2.48 per liter jump, from Rs. 172.65 to Rs. 175.13, marking a 1.4% hike.

Kerosene oil is set for the sharpest increase, with its ex-refinery price projected to surge by Rs. 4.66 per liter, from Rs. 151.62 to Rs. 156.27—a 3.1% rise. Light diesel oil (LDO) will also edge up by Rs. 1.76 per liter, from Rs. 141.63 to Rs. 143.39, a 1.2% increase.

These adjustments at the refinery level will directly impact ex-depot prices—the rates at which fuel is sold to consumers at the pump. Petrol’s ex-depot price is expected to climb from Rs. 264.61 to Rs. 266.58, a Rs. 1.97 per liter or 0.7% increase. Diesel will rise by Rs. 2.48 per liter, from Rs. 272.77 to Rs. 275.25, a 0.9% uptick. Kerosene oil’s ex-depot price is projected to jump by Rs. 4.65 per liter, from Rs. 179.96 to Rs. 184.61, a 2.6% increase. Light diesel oil is also set to rise, moving from Rs. 163.42 to Rs. 165.18, up by Rs. 1.76 per liter or 1.1%.